Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000090 0.000100 0.000110 0.000122 0.000135 0.000149 0.000166
2026-01-11 0.000076 0.000089 0.000104 0.000122 0.000143 0.000168 0.000198
2026-01-18 0.000065 0.000080 0.000098 0.000121 0.000150 0.000184 0.000229
2026-01-25 0.000057 0.000073 0.000094 0.000120 0.000156 0.000200 0.000260
2026-02-01 0.000051 0.000068 0.000090 0.000120 0.000162 0.000216 0.000294
2026-02-08 0.000045 0.000063 0.000086 0.000119 0.000165 0.000229 0.000324
2026-02-15 0.000041 0.000058 0.000082 0.000118 0.000170 0.000244 0.000357
2026-02-22 0.000038 0.000055 0.000080 0.000118 0.000176 0.000260 0.000393
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000052 0.000077 0.000117 0.000179 0.000272 0.000425
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000050 0.000076 0.000118 0.000185 0.000290 0.000468
2026-03-15 0.000030 0.000047 0.000074 0.000118 0.000191 0.000306 0.000508
2026-03-22 0.000028 0.000045 0.000072 0.000117 0.000194 0.000319 0.000544
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000043 0.000071 0.000119 0.000202 0.000341 0.000597
2026-04-05 0.000025 0.000042 0.000069 0.000119 0.000207 0.000359 0.000646
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000040 0.000068 0.000119 0.000211 0.000375 0.000693
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000038 0.000066 0.000118 0.000215 0.000391 0.000741
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000036 0.000064 0.000118 0.000220 0.000408 0.000794
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000035 0.000062 0.000116 0.000221 0.000420 0.000837
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000033 0.000061 0.000116 0.000225 0.000436 0.000888
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000116 0.000229 0.000454 0.000947
2026-05-24 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000115 0.000231 0.000467 0.000996
2026-05-31 0.000015 0.000030 0.000057 0.000116 0.000238 0.000491 0.001069
2026-06-07 0.000014 0.000029 0.000057 0.000116 0.000243 0.000510 0.001136